Shell earnings: third quarter 2026
Shell's third quarter of 2026 was far stronger than a year ago. Earnings per share were $2.15, against $0.91 a year earlier and $1.94 in the second quarter. Sales were $92.8 billion, up about 36% on the year though about 2% below the second quarter, while day-to-day costs were slightly lower than a year ago, so most of the extra sales turned into profit. Free cash flow, the cash left after running the business and investing in it, was $16.3 billion. Shell completed its purchase of the Canadian gas producer ARC Resources on 2 September, mostly paying in new shares. It warns of a large accounting charge in the fourth quarter tied to its Dutch pension fund. 1
Against what analysts expected
Nasdaq's earnings calendar shows an average analyst forecast of $3.54 a share for the quarter from three estimates, but that figure appears to be for Shell's US-listed shares, each of which stands for two ordinary shares, while the release's $2.15 is per ordinary share, so the two cannot be set cleanly against each other. 12
The strong points
- Profit per share more than doubled from a year ago to $2.15, and also rose from the second quarter. 1
- Free cash flow, the cash left after running the business and investing in it, was $16.3 billion, about 64% more than a year ago. 1
- Over the first nine months of 2026, profit for shareholders was more than double the same period last year, at $28.6 billion. 1
The weak points
- Shell's lease obligations, mainly for ships, grew to $34.1 billion, and the company says higher ship-hire rates linked to the Middle East conflict added $7.7 billion since December. 1
- Share buybacks over the first nine months were about 10% below last year's pace, and new shares were issued to pay for ARC. 1
- Sales slipped about 2% from the second quarter, to $92.8 billion. 1
What the company expects
- For the fourth quarter, Shell expects gas production of about 1,080 to 1,180 thousand barrels of oil equivalent a day, now including a full quarter of ARC Resources. 1
- Shell expects a one-off, non-cash charge of about $6.4 billion in the fourth quarter from moving its Dutch pension fund to a different kind of plan. 1
Our verdict on the quarter
A strong report. Profit per share more than doubled and the cash coming in was far above last year, with only small soft spots in slower buybacks and growing ship-lease bills; Shell gave no full-year profit or sales forecast to show whether its own expectations moved.
The results as published
Notes
The lists, the day they're out
Each month's Conviction 10 and Gold Income 10 - every name, and the report on each - in your inbox the day they are published. Free while we launch.